View on Indian Stock Market for Next Week

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 Last week Indian stock market fell sharply amid heavy selling by foreign investors, geo-political tension, particularly between Iran and Israel and weak Q2 corporate results. Nifty corrected 673 points or 2.70% and gave a closing at 24180.80 on Friday. BSE benchmark Sensex fell 1822 points or 2.24% and closed at 79402.

 

FIIs are selling consistently in October, 2024 and till date they have withdrawn Rs. 85790 crore from the market after a nine month high investment of Rs.57724 crore only in September,2024.Last week they have sold Rs.20024.22 crore of shares in the market. DIIs have tried to absorb the selling pressure buying more than Rs.21000 crore of shares, otherwise, the correction could have been massive than what it is now actually. 


Why Foreign Portfolio Investors are Selling so Heavily? 

 

They are getting attractive Chinese stocks so cheap due to Chinese stimulus, over elevated share prices of the Indian stock market, geo-political tension between Iran and Israel, and weak corporate results. Looking ahead, these geo political developments, interest rate cut, upcoming presidential election in USA, the rest corporate results, and impact of inflation, will be closely monitored by the FPIs. 

 

Indian stock market will remain closed on Friday on the occasion of Diwali. In the evening there will be a one hour Muhurat trading to be organized by NSE and BSE to start the new Samvat 2081.

 

Technical View of Nifty: From the below monthly chart of nifty, we can see that there is a huge bearish candle is formed which is a bearish marubozu candle, and it has engulfed last two months' candle almost completely. This sign at resistance reflects the bearishness mood if the market. RSI is going lower to break 60.We may see some pull backs if it takes support at 60 RSI line. Otherwise, if it breaks this line with 200 EMA (23400 level) at the same time, the market can turn into a long duration bear market. 


From the below weekly chart of nifty, we can see that there is a support of 24100 level, then at 23880 level. If nifty trades below these support levels, we can see nifty breaking 24000 level and can touch 23800 and then its 200 EMA at 23408.In between nifty will give some upward moves, but there will be sell on rise each time. Now the time is to wait and watch the market from the sidelines. Trade cautiously as market will be more volatile as the month ending closing next week. 


Disclaimer: The information provided on MoneyWiseMind is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended to be financial advice, and you should not rely on it as such. Before making any financial decisions, you should consult a licensed financial advisor.

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